Bayesian Judges

Building on Eric Posner and Adrian Vermeule’s valuable insights about the Bayesian nature of the judicial process (see their paper "The Votes of Other Judges"), I propose a simple method for improving judicial decision-making, a method I have... continue reading

Bayesian verdicts

Why do juries emit binary verdicts, i.e. guilty or not guilty? Why not allow each juror to emit a "Bayesian vote" reflecting his/her subjective degree of belief in the probability of the defendant’s guilt? Under this alternative method of Bayesian... continue reading

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